Is oil going to $100?
U.S Crude inventories fell by WAY more than expected ( -6.3mm (-2.1mm expected) to their lowest since early December - and are well below their five-year average for this time of year as the summer driving season ends. Including the SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve), this is the lowest level of total crude inventories in America since 1985... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
91 is the number of trading sessions since at least a 1.5% sell off session in SPX
This length of time without a 1 day equity shock is rare ... has happened ~five times in the last 15 years. Source: Goldman Sachs, TME
The longer term gap between NASDAQ and the US 10 year remains huge
Source: TME, Refiitiv
Regulation: this is where Europe want to take lead globally...
the rest of the world (especially the #us) wants to lead on #innovation and #growth but Europe wants to become the champion of #regulation... Indeed, U.S. tech giants are facing stricter rules in Europe with more regulation (the Digital Markets Act or DMA) announced this week. The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, named six “gatekeepers” on Wednesday — these are companies that have an annual turnover above 7.5 billion euros ($8 billion) or 45 million monthly active users inside the bloc. They are Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, Meta and ByteDance, who now have six months to comply with stricter market rules — such as not being able to prevent users from uninstalling any pre-installed software or apps, or treating their own services more favorably. Source: CNBC, politic.eu
An immediate consequence of soaring oil prices mean -> Soaring gas prices in the US
Now at their highest for this time of year since 2012 (and 2nd highest ever)... not great for headline inflation and consumer purchasing power Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
While WTI oil hit $86, the rig count is still in plunge mode...
*A cumulative $4.9T of investments in global upstream oil and gas are needed by 2030 to meet market needs and prevent a supply shortfall" ---International Energy Forum (IEF) and S&P Global Commodity Insights. Source: Lawrence McDonald, Bloomberg
If you think housing in the US is not affordable anymore take a look at New Zealand, Canada and Sweden 👇
BCA research through Michael A.Arouet
With total return data going back to March 1999, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX)’s 42.54% YTD total return is the best on record (2020’s post-Covid bounce in tech stocks came close)
Source: Jim Bianco
