REPORTED RECESSIONS: in US Luxury Goods...
Congruent with dour commentary out of LVMH, luxury spending slowed to a -7.6% Y/Y Recession in June = 9th month of negative Y/Y growth. Source: Keith McCullough
Only 11% of US household debt has an adjustable interest rate
That means the vast majority of Americans with existing fixed rate mortgages/auto loans/student loans have not been impacted by the Fed's 11 rate hikes. Source: Charlie Bilello
US diesel vs inflation: if history is any guide, recent pop of US diesel prices could imply CPI going back over 4%
Source: BofA
Another massive us earnings week ahead
Tuesday: $UBER, $AMD, $PINS Wednesday: $PYPL, $SHOP, $U Thursday: $AMZN, $AAPL, $COIN, $SQ, $ABNB, $NET Friday: $FUBO, $NKLA Source: Earnings Whisperers
The gap in valuation discount between US and European equities has never been wider
Source: TME, Sanford Bernstein
As a reminder...
Source: Mac10
With 46% of companies reported, S&P 500 Q2 GAAP earnings per share are up 7% over the last year, the highest YoY growth rate since Q4 2021.
Source: Charlie Bilello
US Treasuries sold off yesterday and are now on the verge of a breakdown from support
The chart below courtesy of Crescat Capital / Tavi Costa is a reminder of the divergence between rising yields and the highly valued Nasdaq index. Is this divergence sustainable? Source: Bloomberg, Tavi Costa
