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4 Jun 2024

Japan owns $1.2 trillion of US Treasuries.

As Japanese yields rise, the domestic market will attract dollars away from US debt. "Rising long-term interest rates in Japan put upward pressure on long-term US Treasury yields:" Apollo's Torsten Slok Source: Bloomberg, Lisa Abramowitz

3 Jun 2024

Exit polls show a clear victory for Prime Minister Modi’s party BJP + allies (called NDA = National Democratic Alliance).

The market is likely to view this very favorably, expecting another 5 years of policy stability, reforms and visibility on growth. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles

3 Jun 2024

Japan currently owns the highest share of public debt outstanding.

They will most likely move even higher... and everybody else will follow. There is no other option left. This chart also means there is still a lot of firepower for the Fed to keep treasuries interest rates under control if needed. Source: Michel A.Arouet

31 May 2024

China likely to impose the largest fine in history against an accounting firm of at least $138 million against PwC due to their failure to catch the largest financial fraud in history at Evergrande.

Source: Barchart

29 May 2024

Apple iPhone shipments in China rebound 52% in April

Source: Bloomberg

29 May 2024

waouuu... this could be a major medical breakthrough...

Source: Mario Nawfal

28 May 2024

Japan’s population has now been contracting for almost 15 years

At the same time, number of vacant homes there has risen significantly Now reaching the 9 million mark At this rate, Japan’s demography poses long-term sustainability risks for their economy Source: Game of Trades

24 May 2024

The lesson from Japan:

If you don't get your debt under control, you have to use your central bank to cap yields to avoid a debt crisis, causing big Yen devaluation. If the Euro zone doesn't find a way to bring high periphery debt levels down, the Euro will follow the same path. Source: Robin Brooks

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