Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

7 Nov 2023

China reported a worse-than-expected drop in exports in October, while imports surprisingly rose for the month from a year ago

China’s customs agency said exports in U.S. dollar terms fell by 6.4% in October from a year ago. That’s worse than the 3.3% drop predicted by a Reuters poll. Overall, China’s exports have fallen on a year-on-year basis every month this year starting in May. The last positive print for imports on a year-on-year basis was in September last year. China’s exports to Southeast Asia and the European Union fell by double digits in October, according to CNBC calculations of official data. Exports to the U.S. dropped by more than 8%, the analysis showed. Imports rose by 3% in U.S. dollar terms in October from a year ago. That’s in contrast to the Reuters’ forecast for a 4.8% drop from a year ago. However, China’s imports from the U.S. were down by 3.7% in October versus the year ago period, CNBC calculations of customs data showed. China’s imports from the European Union rose by more than 5%, while those from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations grew by 10.2%, the analysis showed. Source: CNBC

2 Nov 2023

The negative bonds world is gone, with also a Japanese bond maturing in 24 trading at 0% yesterday

Source: From Macro to Micro

1 Nov 2023

*BREAKING* BOJ Buys More Bonds to Slow Rising Yields a Day After Tweak Central bank acts after 10-year yield touches decade high - BLOOMBERG

The Bank of Japan stepped into the bond market unexpectedly Wednesday to curb the pace of gains in sovereign yields, just a day after announcing it was loosening its grip on debt prices. The central bank’s unscheduled purchase operation statement came as the benchmark 10-year bond yield touched 0.97% — a fresh decade-high but still below the 1% cap it removed in favor of a more flexible policy setting. There was very little immediate market reaction to the move, with traders trimming one basis point off the 10-year yield before it recovered half of that. Bond futures pared losses and the yen, which is sensitive to shifts in interest rates, shed a fraction of its advance versus the dollar.

31 Oct 2023

Apple sales in India over the years

Source: Investywise

31 Oct 2023

BREAKING: The yen falls near 150 after the Bank of Japan makes only modest tweaks to its yield control program, defying market expectations

Japan’s centralbank decided to make its yield curve control (YCC) policy more flexible, shifting the language used to describe the upper bound of the 10-year Japanese government bond yield. The BoJ said it will patiently continue monetary easing under YCC to support economic activities. BOJ makes the decisions on YCC by an 8-1 vote. The decision is sending the $USDJPY back to above 150.

30 Oct 2023

Moments ago the yen spiked to a session high against the US dollar

The highest since Oct 12, after Japan's Nikkei reported that the Bank of Japan may tweak its YCC again and allow long-term yields to rise above 1% as soon as its Tuesdays meeting. Source: www.zerohedge.com

26 Oct 2023

Meta’s ad rebound gets huge assist from China even though its services are banned there

Meta may be banned from operating in China, but the company is counting on advertisers there to boost its growth. Finance chief Susan Li told analysts on Wednesday’s earnings call that Chinese companies played a major role this quarter. Online commerce and gaming “benefited from spend among advertisers in China reaching customers in other markets,” Li said. Source: CNBC

24 Oct 2023

Here's a chart of gold in yen

Japan has been ahead of the curve when it comes to FIAT currency debasement and the way its currency is trading against gold is rather frightening with another huge ~10% new ATH move this month. Will other FIAT currencies follow the yen path? Source: Graddhy - Commodities TA+Cycles

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks