Japan | BOJ Avoids Rate Hike Signal as It Stands Pat, Driving Yen Lower – Bloomberg
As expected, no change from the BoJ this morning on rates or the YCC. The vote was 9-0, in favor of no change. There wasn’t even a hint of change to the policy statement. No change in language around wages and inflation. The Japanese Yen weakened considerably on the initial press release. Nikkei 225 is up +1.5% Source: Ayesha Tariq, Bloomberg
What a headline...
Hafize Gaye Erkan, the new head of Turkey’s central bank, said rampant inflation has priced her out of Istanbul’s property market, leaving the former finance executive with no choice but to move back in with her parents. “We haven’t found a home in Istanbul. It’s terribly expensive. We’ve moved in with my parents,” 44-year-old Hafize Gaye Erkan, who took up her post in June after two decades in the United States, told reporters. Source: Wall Street Silver
BREAKING >>>New York Fed President John Williams CNBC interview: The Fed "isn't really" talking about rate cuts right now
Mr. Williams said: - The Fed "isn't really" talking about rate cuts right now. - Committee members submit projections regarding path of interest rates. Inflation and economy is still uncertain, but base cases are looking pretty good. - Policy focused on getting inflation down to 2%. - Market reaction to all news events have been larger than normal. - Fed should be ready to hike again if needed. - Fed is at or near right place for monetary policy. - The policy restraints should be dialed back slowly over the next three years.
BREAKING: China's central bank injects RECORD monthly amount into money markets
Source: Bloomberg
The European Central Bank held interest rates steady for the second meeting in a row, as it revised its growth forecasts lower and announced plans to shrink its balance sheet
ECB's Lagarde: We did not discuss rate cuts at all BUT markets price in 5.3 cuts for 2024. “The Governing Council’s future decisions will ensure that its policy rates will be set at sufficiently restrictive levels for as long as necessary,” it said in a statement. Source: Bloomberg, CNBC
The Fed is still behind the curve...
The market is now pricing in a Fed Funds Rate of 3.8% by the end of 2024, expecting significantly more easing than the Fed's projection of a move down to 4.6%. Source: Charloe Bilello
Big move down in Treasury yields yesterday after the FED projected 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024...
1-Year: 4.94%, down 55 bps from Oct high. 2-Year: 4.46%, down 73 bps from Oct high. 10-Year: 4.04%, down 94 bps from Oct high. Source: Charlie Biello
The Fed is finally giving up...
Fed holds rates steady but indicates three cuts coming in 2024. Indeed, the Dot Plot is adjusted down significantly more dovishly than expected, narrowing the gap to the market's expectation significantly... The US 10 year is down 20bp to 4%, the Dow surges by 300 points!
