BREAKING: The Bank of Japan boj raises interest rates by 25 basis points to their highest level since 2008.
The Bank of Japan hiked rates by 25 basis points Friday to 0.5%, bringing its policy rate to its highest level since 2008, as it seeks to normalize its monetary policy. The move comes in line with expectations from CNBC’s survey from Jan 15-20, which saw an overwhelming majority of economists predict a hike. In its statement, the BOJ revealed that the decision was a 8-1 split, with board member Toyoaki Nakamura dissenting. Nakamura said the central bank should only make change in policy after confirming a rise in firms’ earning power from reports that would be out by the next monetary policy meeting. Following the decision, the Japanese yen strengthened 0.3% to trade at 155.61 against the dollar, while country’s benchmark Nikkei 225 stock index was slightly up. The yield on the 10-year Japanese government bonds rose 1.7 basis points to 1.222%. Announcement is pretty much in-line with market expectations - no big surprise. Source. The Kobeissi Letter, CNBC
‼️The Bank of Japan is set to HIKE rates again on Friday:
The market is pricing a 90% chance that the BoJ will raise rates by 0.25% to 0.50% on Friday, the highest in 16 years. That would be the 3rd rate hike in less than 12 months, after 17 years without an increase. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Bloomberg
Trump is inheriting a Federal Reserve w/ not only unprecedented losses of $218 billion, but it's still losing money;
the Fed won't send the Treasury a dime for the entirety of Trump's term; that's never happened since the inception of the Fed - another challenge for Trump... Source: E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. @RealEJAntoni
The ECB shields high debt countries from bond market crises via the combined effect of past interventions and its TPI anti-fragmentation tool.
Underlying assumption is that high debt countries will do what it takes to bring down debt without crises. That assumption is wrong... - Robin Brooks on X
⚠️US money market fund assets jumped to a record of $8.2 TRILLION.
This comes as people expect the Fed to pause rate hikes for a few months. We have to remember, this is not money on the sidelines. Moreover, most of this cash has never been in and never will go to stocks. Last but not least, while the ABSOLUTE number is at record high, the RELATIVE number (cash as a percentage of total assets) is near record low. Source: Global Markets Investor, Goldman Sachs
90% chance BOJ hikes next week.
Source: Michael J. Kramer @MichaelMOTTCM on X, Bloomberg
On this day of 2015, the SNB (Swiss National Bank) discontinued the minimum exchange rate of 1.20 EUR/CHF...
This "quasi-peg" level never got revisited. Meanwhile, the 0.95 new support level does not seem to hold. Today we trade at 94 cents and many traders do have 90 cents in mind. And even much lower levels... Good luck... Source chart: Brian Reutimann
⚠️The market is pricing in just ONE Fed rate cut for 2025. This is down from nearly 5 rate cuts expected in September.
Great Chart: @AugurInfinity, Global Markets Investor
