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20 Jun 2023

China's central bank cuts the banks' 1-Y and 5-Y Loan Prime Rate #LPR by 10 bps for the first time since August

The People’s Bank of China cut two more key lending rates on Tuesday for the first time in 10 months to prop up growth in the world’s second largest economy. The Chinese central bank cut the one-year loan prime rate by 10 basis points from 3.65% to 3.55%, and trimmed the five-year loan prime rate by 10 basis points from 4.3% to 4.2% — for the first time since August. Source: CNBC

16 Jun 2023

Yen declines as BOJ sticks with super easy policy unlike peers

The Bank of Japan continued to defy global central bank trends by sticking with stimulus as it waits for signs of more sustainable inflation while its peers signal the need to raise interest rates further to rein in prices.
Governor Kazuo Ueda and his fellow board members left their negative interest rate and yield curve control program unchanged at the end of a two-day gathering and maintained their view that inflation will slow over the coming months, according to a statement Friday.
The yen declined after the decision, falling to around 141.40 per dollar. It had hit a seven-month low of 141.50 on Thursday.

Source: Bloomberg

15 Jun 2023

The rate hikes marathon

Since the start of 2022: The Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark rate 10 times to 5.25% from 0.25%. The Bank of England has hiked its key rate 11 times to 4.5% from 0.25%. The European Central Bank increased its seven times to 3.75% from 0%. Source: Ignacio Ramirez Moreno

15 Jun 2023

Fed left interest rates unchanged but suggest further hikes

Federal Reserve officials paused their series of interest-rate hikes but projected borrowing costs will go higher than previously expected.
Powell, speaking to reporters in a press conference Wednesday, faced the challenging task of explaining two possibly contradictory policies: deciding to leave rates unchanged following 10 straight hikes while also indicating that at least two more increases might be necessary this year, possibly as soon as July.

Source: Bloomberg

14 Jun 2023

Federal Reserve to skip a rate hike

A gauge of dollar strength held near a one-month low on speculation the Federal Reserve will skip an interest-rate hike at a policy meeting ending Wednesday.
While US CPI data has cemented bets on a Fed pause, it also suggests that we might see more tightening later, which will ultimately slow the US economy.

Source: Bloomberg

14 Jun 2023

ECB Balance Sheet is almost unchanged ahead of this week's meeting.

Total assets now at €7,714.4bn, equal to 57% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 32%, SNB's 121%, BoJ's 130%. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

7 Jun 2023

Bank of Canada raises key rate by 25 bps to 4.75% vs. 4.5% est.

The Bank of Canada defied expectations by restarting its interest-rate tightening campaign, saying the economy is running too hot.

Source: Bloomberg

19 May 2023

How long can the Bank of Japan maintain its ultra-accommodating policy?

As Japan's core Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaches an impressive milestone of 4%, the nation finds itself at a pivotal juncture in its inflation landscape. This surge places Japanese inflation well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target. While the BoJ's specific objective remains the maintenance of stable inflation at around 2%, the question arises: How long can the BoJ sustain its ultra-accommodative policy stance? With Japan's staggering debt-to-GDP ratio surpassing 200%, finding the right balance becomes crucial in addressing the potential challenges of runaway inflation. Source: Bloomberg

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