US STOCK MARKET LIQUIDITY IS FALLING
S&P 500 ETF daily trading volume PLUNGED to 26.9 million on Tuesday, near the lowest since 2007. At the same time, S&P 500 futures trading volume FELL to the lowest in 3 YEARS. This increases the risk of some wild moves going forward. Source: Global Markets Investor, The Daily Shot
Overnight gains in US equities have massively outpaced intraday gains.
Source: Chris Murphy, Susquehanna International Group, The Daily Shot
Only small caps are trading at multiples below their 10-year average.
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi, The Daily Shot
S&P 500 futures positioning is very extended. Nearing record long levels, according to Citi.
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
ALERT: Buffett’s cash allocation is at 30% of Berkshire Hathaway’s total assets Such an elevated cash position has NEVER been seen
Source: Bravos Research
China trades at a 40% discount to India. Is this more a China discount or an Indian premium?
Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles
US small caps tend to heat up when the weather gets cold.
Historically, Nov-Jan is the strongest period for the Russell 2000. Source: David Marlin @Marlin_Capital, BofA
The US stock market is MASSIVE: US stock market capitalization accounts now for 74% of the MSCI World Index, a new all-time high.
Since the end of the 2008 Financial Crisis, this percentage has increased by ~25 points. By comparison, Europe and Japan’s share have dropped by ~15 and ~5 percentage points, respectively. As a result, the US' share of global market cap is now 4 TIMES larger than Europe and Japan COMBINED. This comes as the S&P 500 has rallied 450% over the last 15 years compared to a 70% and 310% gain of the Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225. The US stock market has never been larger. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, SG Cross Asset Research, Factset
