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28 Aug 2023

Magazine covers happen to be quite effective as contrarian indicators (i.e peak pessimism usually takes place at the bottom; peak optimsim at the top).

Could The Economist cover page on #china (Xi's failing model) coincide with a bottom for Chinese equities? China stocks surged on Monday after authorities announced a package of measures over the weekend to boost investor confidence, including halving the stamp duty on stock trading. China’s blue-chip CSI 300 Index jumped roughly 3% in early morning trade, on course for its best day since November, while the Hang Seng benchmark advanced more than 2%.

28 Aug 2023

25 Years of $LVMH Revenue Growth per Business Group

Visualized by Quartr

25 Aug 2023

After the outstanding Nvidia figures and outlook, analysts have raised the avg price target for the chip giant from $520 to $620

Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

25 Aug 2023

Chinese stocks slid in early Friday trading, an indication of entrenched investor pessimism even after authorities urged the nation’s top financial institutions to help stabilize a struggling market.

The CSI 300 Index of shares in Shanghai and Shenzhen dropped as much as 0.7% shortly after the opening bell, extending its slump this month to 7.7% and keeping it as one of the world’s worst performers this year. A key gauge of Hong Kong-listed Chinese firms declined a maximum 1.3%. The selling came after the China Securities Regulatory Commission used a seminar Thursday with executives from the country’s pension fund, some large banks and insurers to ask them to boost support for the market. The market’s indifference isn’t necessarily a surprise, given regulators have held similar meetings regularly in the past and they have rarely had a significant impact. Source: Bloomberg

25 Aug 2023

Strange day on Wall Street. Despite Nvidia blockbuster earnings the Nasdaq is in the red

Within $SPX the pockets of strength are in real estate, utilities, financials, healthcare, and consumer defensives. Low vol is outperforming high beta. There are rotations to safer parts of the market happening underneath the surface. Source: Markets Mayhem, Bloomberg

25 Aug 2023

A fresh increase in the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model reinforces the reasoning behind hawkish-for-longer monetary policy, which is weighing on equities and bonds

The latest model estimate shows real 3Q GDP growth of 5.9%, up from 5.8% on Aug. 16 (it was less than 4% two weeks ago). Source: J-C Gand, Atlanta Fed

24 Aug 2023

Nvidia CEO: "Software Is Eating the World, but AI Is Going to Eat Software" (and Nvidia eats AI?)

After Nivdia $NVDA earnings 🚀🚀🚀 yesterday: 1. Nvidia is now worth 8.8x more than Intel 2. Nvidia is now worth 6.9x more than AMD 3. Nvidia is now worth nearly 3x as much as JP Morgan by market cap 4. Nvidia is now the 5th most valuable public company 5. Nvidia expects $183 million in revenue per DAY in Q3 6. EPS increased by nearly 900% since last year 7. Short sellers have now lost nearly $10 BILLION this year Source: Baris Aksoy, The Kobeissi Letter

24 Aug 2023

Nvidia ($NVDA) data center revenue in 2Q was $10.32 billion vs. $3.81 billion y/y, beating estimates of $7.98 billion

In less than a decade, it's gone from a rounding error to the main source of sales. Source: Bloomberg

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