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The S&P500 has been failing regularly up here since last summer
Source: J-C Parets, All Star Charts
One of the best bank deals of our time?
First Citizens's shares jumped 54% after NCarolina lender took over SVB's $56.5bn in deposits as well as $72bn in loans at discount of $16.5bn. FDIC will help finance deal w/$35bn loan & $70bn credit line to help cover pot depo flight. Source: DJ, HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Coal stocks pressing to new multi-year highs
Not really the market action which was expected... In the face of limited energy supply, coal stocks are booming to a surge in coal demand. Source: Steven Strazza, All Start Charts
Climbing the wall of worry: US equities sentiment remains bearish
According to Goldman's average percentile of 16 sentiment & positioning indicators, sentiment today is more bearish than it was 1 month ago and 3 months ago. Peculiar. Climb the wall of worry.
A big test ahead for the S&P 500
S&P 500's uptrend that started last fall continues even with the index losing 2.6% this month. But with the S&P 500 closing below the 50 day moving average and trapped in a range just above its 200 day moving average, this week will be critical. Source: Bloomberg
A 60/40 Portfolio remains 14% below its all-time high
A 60/40 Portfolio of US stocks/bonds is currently in a 14-month drawdown, 14% below its all-time high. This is the longest drawdown for a 60/40 portfolio since the financial crisis (37 months) and before that the aftermath of the dot-com bubble (43 months). Source: Charlie Bilello
Hedge funds net exposure is moving from Value to Growth sectors
(note that it is as of December 31st, 2022 so it is lagging the actual net exposure) Source: Goldman Sachs
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