The scariest China chart
Source: TS Lombard, Bloomberg, Win Smart
Global debt has officially reached $315 trillion
Source: IIF Global Debt
Top monetary assets worldwide
Source: Porkopolis Economics
The Interest Expense on US Public Debt rose to a record $1.11 trillion over the last 12 months, more than doubling over the past two years
At the current pace it will soon be the largest line item in the Federal budget, surpassing Social Security. Source: Charlie Bilello
Tax Revenue vs. GDP for Major Countries
Source: Visual Capitalist
A very important chart which goes AGAINST hard landing scenario
"The source of the rise in the us unemployment rate is not job cuts but a rise in labor supply because of rising immigration. That is the reason why the Sahm rule doesn’t work. The Sahm rule was designed for a decline in labor demand, not a rise in immigration." - Torsten Slok (Apollo) Source: Mike Z. on X
Deutsche Bank: "Why the BOJ has no choice and is merely prolonging the inevitable*
"at a gross balance sheet value of around 500% GDP or $20 trillion, the Japanese government's balance sheet is, simply put, one giant carry trade."
The recessionary trade was in full effect yesterday following weak ISM data.
Cyclicals underperformed Defensives by 429bps, one of the worst days in the last 16+ years. The only other comparable days were during the March 2020 Covid crash and 2008 GFC. $SPY $QQQ $IWM Source: David Marlin, Bloomberg
