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The stagflation trade is proving to be a rare winner as the stock market rout continues.
The Goldman L/S Stagflation basket—which benefits from rising commodity & healthcare stocks while betting against consumer discretionary and chip stocks—has gained nearly 18% in 2025. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Mag 7 valuation premium now the lowest in 8 years
Source: Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT, MBA, Goldman Sachs
The seven most influential names in the market are testing a 1.5 year uptrend.
Source: TrendSpider
Monday was the worst day of the year for the S&P 500 at -2.7%.
It turns out even the best years usually have a bad day. @Ryan Detrick found 22 times >20% for the year and the average worst day in those years was -3.5%. 1997 had a 6.9% worst day and still gained 31% for the year in fact. Source: Carson
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