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BREAKING : Short Sellers
U.S. Stock Short Sellers have lost a reported $145 billion this year. Complete wipeout Source: Barchart
Simon White posted an excellent chart showing the potential short-term gain / long-term pain of the dual Yellen / Powell pivot
Phase 1: The Yellen Pivot. Early 2023, she decided skewing the Treasury's issuance towards bills. This bought time for risk assets, allowing Fed reserves to rise despite QT Phase 2: The Powell Pivot last week -> His dovish turn should buy more time for risk assets next year. He is literally trying to limit the growing amount of liquidity sucked from the government's ballooning interest-rate bill While this leads to short-term gain, there is a huge risk of long-term pain as these dovish operations have significantly increased long-term inflation risks and the prospect of even higher yields in the near-future. Source: Bloomberg, Macrobond
The US added the equivalent of a new Venezuela in oil supply during Q4, with less rigs producing more oil as technological efficiency ramps up
This supply growth has exceeded expectations and furled OPEC's attempt to put a floor under prices, at least for now. Source: Markets & Mayhem, Bloomberg
Homelessness in the US has grown to the highest level since the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) started tracking the figure back in 2007
With a record 653,104 people experiencing homelessness at the latest annual count. The number of people experiencing unsheltered homelessness — those living on sidewalks or in abandoned buildings, bus stations, etc. — was up around 47k from last year, while the figure for people staying in emergency shelters, transitional housing programs, or safe havens grew 23k in the same period. Source: Chartr
The pain trade in one chart: Most shorted US stocks gained 11.3% this week. Performance YTD now on par w/S&P 500
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Was the FED ULTRADOVISH move on Wednesday driven by a "Trump fear"?
New swing state polling is brutal for Biden... It wasn't the case 3 weeks ago... Source: alx
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